• 中国科学学与科技政策研究会
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ISSN 1003-2053 CN 11-1805/G3

科学学研究 ›› 2026, Vol. 44 ›› Issue (8): 1647-1657.

• 理论与方法 • 上一篇    下一篇

信息接触与威胁情境:公众认知极化成因探析

韩亦坤1,魏钰明2,苏竣1,张芳1   

  1. 1. 清华大学公共管理学院
    2. 清华大学智能社会治理研究院
  • 收稿日期:2025-04-10 修回日期:2025-07-04 出版日期:2026-08-15 发布日期:2026-08-15
  • 通讯作者: 张芳
  • 基金资助:
    国家重点研发计划项目“智能社会治理实验演化推演关键技术研究与应用示范”;国家自然科学基金项目“技术变革引致企业政策响应行为演变的微观机理研究:以人工智能情境下的环境治理为例”;国家自然科学基金项目“声誉管理对政府数智化转型公众接受度的影响机制与路径研究”

Information Exposure and Threat Situation: An Exploratory Analysis of the Causes of Public Cognitive Polarization

  • Received:2025-04-10 Revised:2025-07-04 Online:2026-08-15 Published:2026-08-15
  • Contact: FANG ZHANG

摘要: 伴随社会智能化转型,精准推荐等新技术引发的认知极化问题日益成为社会治理的重要议题。研究基于行为科学视角,探讨社会环境中的威胁情境如何与智能精准推荐下的信息接触产生交互作用,影响公众认知极化进程。通过设计2(无威胁情境VS威胁情境)*2(同质信息VS异质信息)的双因素被试间实验,研究发现接触同质信息会加剧公众认知极化,而接触异质信息则有助于缓解极化;存在威胁情境时,接触异质信息对公众认知极化的缓解作用会减弱。结果表明,对智能社会中公众认知极化问题的治理,不仅要破除精准推荐带来的信息茧房,还需重视社会环境中的威胁情境对公众认知的影响。

Abstract: The rapid development of intelligent technologies is propelling humanity toward an intelligent society, bringing about profound changes in production, lifestyle, organizational structures, and social order. These transformations have given rise to numerous new challenges, making the governance of intelligent society an urgent research agenda. While existing studies have addressed key risks associated with intelligent technologies—including algorithmic abuse, the digital divide, and issues of trust and fatigue—relatively less attention has been paid to the transformative impact of intelligent recommendation systems on public information exposure, cognitive patterns, and behavioral preferences. The widespread use of personalized recommendations often results in individuals being repeatedly exposed to homogeneous content, leading to the formation of information cocoons, exacerbating cognitive polarization, and increasing the risk of societal fragmentation. This presents a significant challenge for intelligent social governance. Traditional analyses of public cognition and attitude formation are often based on the rational actor model, assuming that individuals make decisions through cost-benefit calculations. However, such perspectives tend to overlook the psychological and emotional mechanisms involved in information processing. Recent studies from the fields of psychology and behavioral science have begun to explore how emotional preferences, identity, ideology, and personality traits influence the relationship between information exposure and cognitive polarization. Nevertheless, little attention has been given to the role of perceived external social environments, especially perceptions of societal threats. Psychological research indicates that perceived threats in the social environment significantly shape individual cognition and attitudes. In today’s digital landscape, where intelligent technologies dominate, threat-inducing and emotionally charged content is more likely to attract attention and be widely disseminated. This can amplify public anxiety and perceptions of insecurity, thereby intensifying cognitive polarization. Accordingly, this study seeks to bridge the gap by examining how threat perceptions and information exposure interact to influence public cognitive polarization. This paper introduces the perspective of external threat situations and explores how they, together with information exposure, jointly influence public cognitive polarization. Using the application of facial recognition technology in “pedestrian red-light violation exposure” as a case study, this research constructs a 2 (no threat situation vs. threat situation)×2 (homogeneous information vs. heterogeneous information) between-subjects experiment. A total of 1,281 participants were recruited online for the experiment. The results indicate that exposure to homogeneous information strengthens the public’s original views, thereby intensifying cognitive polarization, while exposure to heterogeneous information weakens the public’s original views, reducing cognitive polarization. Compared to the absence of external threat situations, threat situations significantly weaken the depolarization effect brought about by exposure to heterogeneous information. Additionally, for individuals of different genders and average annual incomes, threat situations play varying roles in the process by which information exposure influences polarization. The findings demonstrate that the external environment in which the public is situated, including threat perceptions caused by social unrest, economic crises, crime, disease risks, and unexpected events, may have a significant impact on changes in cognitive polarization during information exposure. This deserves further attention and research. Moreover, when the government addresses viewpoint polarization in cyberspace, it should not only promote the public’s exposure to more heterogeneous information that challenges their original views and encourages diverse thinking, but also pay attention to the external environment the public faces. This can help reduce public anxiety and threat perception, thereby enhancing the role of heterogeneous information in mitigating viewpoint polarization.

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