• 中国科学学与科技政策研究会
  • 中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院
  • 清华大学科学技术与社会研究中心
ISSN 1003-2053 CN 11-1805/G3

科学学研究 ›› 2026, Vol. 44 ›› Issue (1): 166-177.

• 创新探索 • 上一篇    下一篇

大数据综合试验区对区域科技创新能力的影响———基于多期 DID 的政策效应评估

王今1,李均艳1,2,武建龙3   

  1. 1. 哈尔滨理工大学经济与管理学院
    2.
    3. 哈尔滨理工大学
  • 收稿日期:2024-08-26 修回日期:2024-12-31 出版日期:2026-01-15 发布日期:2026-01-19
  • 通讯作者: 武建龙
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金面上项目

The Impact of National Big Data Comprehensive Pilot Zone Policy on Regional Science & Technology Innovation Capacity——Evaluation of Effects Based on Multi-Period DID

  • Received:2024-08-26 Revised:2024-12-31 Online:2026-01-15 Published:2026-01-19

摘要: 本文基于2011—2021年30个省份(直辖市及自治区)的面板数据,针对国家级大数据综合试验区的相关政策展开研究。选取2015年、2016年两个批次的政策时间点,建立多阶段DID模型,以此来探讨国家级大数据试验区设立对区域科技创新能力的影响效应及其不同试点政策实施效应。(1)基准回归表明:国家级大数据综合试验区设立能够显著提升区域科技创新能力,经过安慰剂检验、滞后一期和剔除一线城市的稳健性检验后,该结论依然成立。(2)异质性结果显示:大数据综合试验区设立的不同试点对周围区域科技创新能力的带动效应不同,同时该政策的八个试点,仅珠江三角洲、上海、重庆大数据综合试验区试点的区域科技创新带动效应不显著,借助理论分析来探究其原因并给予相应建议,以便全面贯彻落实国家级大数据战略和区域协同发展战略。

Abstract: Based on the panel data of 30 provinces (municipalities directly under the central government and autonomous regions) from 2011 to 2021, this paper conducts a research on the relevant policies of national big data comprehensive pilot zones. Two batches of policy time points in 2015 and 2016 are selected, and a multi-period DID model is established to explore the impact of the establishment of national big data pilot zones on regional science & technology innovation capacity and the effect of the implementation of different pilot policies. (1) The benchmark regression shows that: the establishment of national big data comprehensive pilot zones can significantly enhance regional science & technology innovation capacity, and the conclusion still holds after the placebo test, lag one period and excluding first-tier cities of the robustness test. (2) Regional heterogeneity analysis results show that: the different pilots of the establishment of the comprehensive pilot zone of big data have different driving effects on the surrounding regional science & technology innovation capacity, while the eight pilots of the policy, only the Pearl River Delta, Shanghai, Chongqing comprehensive pilot zone of big data pilot regional science & technology innovation to drive the effect is not significant, with the help of theoretical analysis to explore the reasons and give the corresponding recommendations, in order to comprehensively implement the national big data strategy and the regional synergistic development strategy.